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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jordan Love Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Jordan Love is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 1.4% of his team's carries near the goal line this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • With a fantastic 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands among the most on-target QBs in football.
  • The running touchdown line reads "0" on the back of Jordan Love's trading card this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With a 53.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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