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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Love's 71.3% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful boost in his throwing precision over last season's 65.9% mark.
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Packers rank as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 46.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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