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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • Jordan Love's 69.5% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his throwing precision over last year's 65.9% mark.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 45.5% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league under these circumstances has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

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