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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Jordan Love's 70.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.9% mark.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

The Packers rank as the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 46.4% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

This year, the stout Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a puny 70.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

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