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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • With an outstanding rate of 1.71 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the 7th-most passing TDs in the league: 1.63 per game since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

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