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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Packers.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.

With an outstanding rate of 1.69 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love rates among the best TD throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in football against the Commanders defense since the start of last season (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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