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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With a 48.1% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football in this setting has been the Packers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.5 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to throw 31.2 passes this week, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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