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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a terrific ratio of 1.53 per game (87th percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the leading TD throwers in the league this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Bears defense has allowed the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.86 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers have been the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 48.9% red zone pass rate.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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