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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+136/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • With an outstanding 67.7% Adjusted Completion% (83rd percentile) this year, Jordan Love ranks as one of the most on-target QBs in football.
  • With an impressive rate of 1.57 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love has been among the best touchdown throwers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers have been the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 45.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded a measly 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest passing touchdowns in football: 1.00 per game this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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