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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a fantastic 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands among the most on-target QBs in football.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the feeble Bears defense has given up a colossal 2.00 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Packers rank as the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 46.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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