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Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.

With a fantastic 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands among the most on-target QBs in football.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the feeble Bears defense has given up a colossal 2.00 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Packers rank as the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 46.5% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

More Jordan Love Player Props

Jordan Love TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14