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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Love has been one of the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with an exceptional 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Packers have been the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 46.3% red zone pass rate.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to throw 33.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.

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