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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-106/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • The Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Jordan Love's 69.9% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a meaningful improvement in his throwing precision over last season's 65.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Packers have been the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 45.9% red zone pass rate.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

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