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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.

This week, Jordan Love is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 10th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 35.0.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense last year: 4th-most in the league.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers last year (just 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL against the Detroit Lions defense last year (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Last year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 1.18 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional last year, grading out as the best in the league.

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