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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-119/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Jordan Love's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a meaningful gain in his running talent over last season's 6.0 rate.
  • Jordan Love's 8.98 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a substantial gain in his running prowess over last year's 4.94 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • In this game, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to earn the 8th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.6.
  • The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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