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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Love's 13.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a meaningful progression in his rushing prowess over last season's 6.0 figure.
  • Jordan Love's running efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 6.03 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.94 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • This week, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to total the 3rd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.9.

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