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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Love has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this season (9.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.9%).
  • Jordan Love has run for a lot more yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (6.0).
  • Jordan Love's 5.85 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a significant progression in his running prowess over last year's 4.94 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • In this game, Jordan Love is projected by the model to garner the 10th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 3.1.

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