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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Love has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (9.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.9%).
  • Jordan Love's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a noteworthy improvement in his running skills over last year's 6.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.

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