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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 233.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 233.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Jordan Love's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 71.3%.
  • With an excellent 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target (82nd percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands among the most efficient passers in the league.
  • This year, the poor Bengals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 282.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in football.
  • The Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.38 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Packers to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 33.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

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