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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 229.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 228.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jordan Love ranks as one of the top passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 210.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the feeble Chicago Bears defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a monstrous 8.47 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.2 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

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