Jordan Love Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 19, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2026 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 229.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 228.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jordan Love ranks as one of the top passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 210.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the feeble Chicago Bears defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a monstrous 8.47 yards.

Favors Under

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.2 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

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