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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Love has been one of the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with an exceptional 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • With an excellent 7.78 adjusted yards-per-target (76th percentile) this year, Jordan Love rates among the most effective passers in football.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to throw 33.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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