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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.

In this game, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to earn the 8th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.6.

The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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