Jordan Love Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 19, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2026 12:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Chicago's DT corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
This week, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to total the 3rd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.9.

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