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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Jordan Love has been a more important option in his offense's running game this year (9.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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