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Jordan Akins

Jordan Akins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jordan Akins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jordan Akins to be much more involved in his team's passing offense in this contest (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.1% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With a measly 1.2 adjusted catches per game (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Akins places among the weakest pass-game TEs in the league.

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