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Jordan Akins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 64.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).After averaging 6.0 air yards per game last season, Jordan Akins has made big progress this season, currently averaging 17.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.With a subpar 3.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) this year, Jordan Akins rates among the top pass-catching TEs in football in the open field.This year, the formidable Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.9 yards.The Steelers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.
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