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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Jordan Addison Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.

Jordan Addison has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

When talking about air yards, Jordan Addison grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 87.0 per game.

The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Jordan Addison, who has received 1.7% of his offense's rush attempts near the end zone since the start of last season (90th percentile), is in the unique position (for a wide receiver) of being involved in the Minnesota Vikings red zone rushing attack.

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