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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Jordan Addison to accrue 7.6 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Jordan Addison's 88.6% Snap% this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his offensive volume over last year's 75.9% mark.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.4%) to WRs this year (60.4%).
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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