My Account Log Out
 
 
Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • Jordan Addison has run a route on 88.5% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) versus wide receivers this year (67.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).
  • Jordan Addison's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 4.2 figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™