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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Jordan Addison to total 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jordan Addison ranks in the 84th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 57.2 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
  • Jordan Addison's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this season shows a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 4.2 rate.
  • Jordan Addison's 59.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a noteable regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.7% rate.
  • This year, the imposing Lions defense has surrendered a mere 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

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