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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 89.9% Route% (86th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison has been as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • In this week's game, Jordan Addison is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.3 targets.
  • With a stellar 3.3 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison rates among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Jordan Addison's 59.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 68.7% rate.

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