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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In this week's contest, Jordan Addison is expected by the projections to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.1 targets.
  • Jordan Addison's 59.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 52.3.
  • With an exceptional 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison places as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has yielded a staggering 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • Jordan Addison's 58.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 68.7% figure.

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