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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jordan Addison to garner 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.50 seconds per play.
  • Jordan Addison's 88.8% snap rate this season marks a significant improvement in his offensive utilization over last season's 75.9% rate.
  • The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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