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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In this week's contest, Jordan Addison is expected by the projections to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.1 targets.
  • Jordan Addison has accrued many more air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Jordan Addison's 59.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 52.3.
  • Jordan Addison rates as one of the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an excellent 50.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • Jordan Addison's 58.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 68.7% figure.
  • Jordan Addison's 7.7 adjusted yards per target this year represents a substantial drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 9.4 mark.
  • Jordan Addison's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.38 mark last year.

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