Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
In this game, Jordan Addison is forecasted by the projection model to rank in the 83rd percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
Jordan Addison has totaled far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (72.0 per game).
Jordan Addison's 52.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 45.8.

Favors Under

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
The Packers defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) vs. wideouts this year.
This year, the daunting Packers defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a puny 7.7 yards.
The Packers safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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