Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.6 per game) this year.
Jordan Addison has run a route on 88.5% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 55.8 per game on average).
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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