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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-340).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last season, Jonnu Smith has produced significantly fewer this season, now sitting at 17.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith's 29.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 81.3% to 73.3%.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9