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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-325).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +305 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

This year, the shaky Packers defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.83 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) vs. the Packers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 49.0% rate of running the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Steelers.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8