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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +340 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +320.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (15.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

Jonnu Smith's 85.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 81.3% figure.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in football to tight ends: 0.83 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (46.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith has put up quite a few less air yards this year (5.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 25.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7