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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -540 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -550.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With an impressive 19.8% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith ranks among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.

As it relates to air yards, Jonnu Smith ranks in the towering 84th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 29.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith rates in the 89th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 38.4 figure since the start of last season.

Jonnu Smith's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 81.3% to 89.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 57.1% rate of running the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in these situations has been the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Since the start of last season, the imposing New England Patriots defense has surrendered a meager 0.26 passing TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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