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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+650/-830).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +720 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +650.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

This year, the stout Texans run defense has allowed a measly 0.76 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 8th-smallest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith has notched quite a few less air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 81.3% rate.

This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the league.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19