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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-830).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -710 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -830.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).

Jonnu Smith has put up far fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 81.3% to 71.1%.

This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a paltry 0.25 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18