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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.

After accumulating 32.0 air yards per game last year, Jonnu Smith has produced significantly less this year, currently averaging 15.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's 69.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 81.3% mark.

This year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has conceded a meager 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16