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Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-560).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -510 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -560.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last season, Jonnu Smith has gotten worse this season, now boasting 18.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.3% rate.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12