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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to garner 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • Jonnu Smith has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • With a remarkable 5.1 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith has been among the top pass-game tight ends in football.
  • Jonnu Smith's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 81.3% to 89.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

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