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Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith's 51.6% Route Participation Rate this year represents a remarkable decline in his pass game workload over last year's 66.9% mark.

Jonnu Smith's 2.0 adjusted catches per game this year shows a substantial drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 5.2 mark.

Jonnu Smith's 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 81.3% rate.

The Texans safeties rank as the 9th-best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 19