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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+138/-191).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -187 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -191.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the poor Ravens pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Jonnu Smith's 12.9% Target Rate this season shows a remarkable reduction in his passing game volume over last season's 19.6% figure.
  • Jonnu Smith's receiving performance has tailed off this year, compiling just 2.3 adjusted receptions vs 5.2 last year.
  • Jonnu Smith's 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 81.3% mark.

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