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Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.

Jonnu Smith's 13.1% Target Share this season reflects a material reduction in his passing game utilization over last season's 19.6% rate.

Jonnu Smith's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this year shows a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 5.2 figure.

Jonnu Smith's 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 81.3% rate.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 13