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Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).

As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Chicago's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Jonnu Smith's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 5.2 figure.

Jonnu Smith's 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.3% rate.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 12