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Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-182/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to garner 4.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

Jonnu Smith's 27.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith's 2.6 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.2 figure.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

Jonnu Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 11