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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers last year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

In this contest, Jonnu Smith is expected by the model to land in the 80th percentile among TEs with 4.3 targets.

Jonnu Smith rates as one of the leading TE receiving threats last year, averaging a stellar 5.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

With a terrific 81.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (81st percentile) last year, Jonnu Smith rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.6 per game) last year.

The model projects Jonnu Smith to be a much smaller part of his team's passing offense this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (19.6% in games he has played).

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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